Sturm Graz 2-1 Rheindorf Altach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.55
X/1
14%
3.67
X/2
7%
11.75
X/X
13%
5.44
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.6
2/2
7%
9.56
2/X
6%
17.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
2.05/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.74
+8% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 67%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
20.0 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.95 xG 0.87
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
262 Passes 273
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.12.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-0 HT 1-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
02.09.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-2 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
06.11.2022 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
13.08.2022 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-0 HT 1-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
01.12.2021 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 0-1 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
07.08.2021 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-1 HT 1-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
2-1
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
1.38 xG 0.86
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
426 Passes 226
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs Rheindorf Altach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz squeezed past Rheindorf Altach 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 62% of the ball to Rheindorf Altach's 38%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.38 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sturm Graz and 0.50 for Rheindorf Altach.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Rheindorf Altach?

Sturm Graz 2-1 Rheindorf Altach in the Austria - Bundesliga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Rheindorf Altach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 53%, draw 27%, Rheindorf Altach 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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