Kortrijk 2-2 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.53 — our 28% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.61
1/2
10%
22.45
1/X
11%
13.0
X/1
15%
7.17
X/2
13%
5.3
X/X
7%
5.59
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
16%
2.89
2/X
7%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.36/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.79
-2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
17.5 Crosses 22.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
1W-1D-4L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.18
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
382 Passes 367
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-3 HT 0-3 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
01.03.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 4-2 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
01.09.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
09.02.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
06.08.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
04.02.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk and St. Truidense couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kortrijk and 1.33 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs St. Truidense?

Kortrijk 2-2 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 36%, draw 24%, St. Truidense 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Truidense), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
10 May 2025
17:00 Beerschot VA vs Cercle Brugge Analysis →
19:15 Mechelen vs Standard Liege Analysis →
21:45 Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise Analysis →