Anderlecht 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.85
6+ Goals
7%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.71
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
10%
7.47
X/2
5%
4.82
X/X
14%
4.32
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.89
2/X
12%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.5pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.95/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.25
-20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
16.1 Crosses 15.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.85 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
348 Passes 282
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
23.02.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
01.09.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
05.05.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
14.04.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
28.01.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
0-1
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.17 xG 2.03
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
363 Passes 220
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise edged past Anderlecht 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (29% / 33% / 38%) promised a tight game; Union Saint-Gilloise found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 60% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 40%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 1.17 to 2.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Anderlecht and 1.17 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Anderlecht 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 29%, draw 33%, Union Saint-Gilloise 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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