Anderlecht 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.8
6+ Goals
14%
16.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.29
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.25
X/1
12%
6.02
X/2
16%
5.27
X/X
8%
4.31
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
19%
3.5
2/X
8%
13.05
Value flag · 1/X at 13.25 — our 10% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.20/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.23
-43% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
15.6 Crosses 17.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.87 xG 1.82
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
335 Passes 290
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
05.05.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
14.04.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
28.01.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
25.01.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEK
28.07.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
0-2
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.95 xG 1.28
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
366 Passes 246
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise saw off Anderlecht 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Union Saint-Gilloise made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 59% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 41%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.95 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Anderlecht and 1.17 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Anderlecht 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 35%, draw 25%, Union Saint-Gilloise 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
23 Feb 2025
15:30 Club Brugge vs Standard Liege Analysis →
18:00 Genk vs Gent Analysis →
21:15 Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge Analysis →