Club Brugge 1-2 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
21.6
X/1
22%
3.67
X/2
9%
18.7
X/X
9%
7.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.0
2/2
6%
16.8
2/X
6%
25.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.3pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.5pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.44/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.07
+11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
412 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 71%
37.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
23.7 Crosses 12.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 0.80
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
455 Passes 281
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
03.12.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
08.10.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
12.03.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
18.09.2022 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-0 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
23.01.2022 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-2 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
1-2
AWAY Standard Liege
1.77 xG 1.92
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
449 Passes 278
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege squeezed past Club Brugge 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Club Brugge carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Club Brugge had 60% of the ball to Standard Liege's 40%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.77 to 1.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Standard Liege led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Club Brugge and 1.33 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Standard Liege?

Club Brugge 1-2 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 58%, draw 23%, Standard Liege 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Club Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
23 Feb 2025
18:00 Genk vs Gent Analysis →
20:30 Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise Analysis →
21:15 Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge Analysis →