Standard Liege 1-0 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
48%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.16
1/2
8%
20.6
1/X
5%
16.45
X/1
10%
11.25
X/2
18%
3.88
X/X
17%
6.34
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
1.91
2/X
5%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
48%
Away Win
60%
-12.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 64%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.05/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.00
+31% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +11%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 80%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
14.2 Crosses 19.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.95 xG 1.36
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
287 Passes 438
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
08.10.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
12.03.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
18.09.2022 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-0 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
23.01.2022 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-2 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
07.11.2021 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-2 HT 2-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
1-0
AWAY Club Brugge
0.68 xG 0.95
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
186 Passes 465
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege squeezed past Club Brugge 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Club Brugge at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Standard Liege had 32% of the ball to Club Brugge's 68%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.68 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Standard Liege and 1.50 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Club Brugge?

Standard Liege 1-0 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 25%, draw 27%, Club Brugge 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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