Royal Antwerp 1-2 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 29% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.43
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
19%
4.36
X/2
10%
8.29
X/X
12%
5.11
2/1
10%
22.7
2/2
10%
5.98
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
1.85/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.54
+1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.9 Crosses 15.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Anderlecht
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.23 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
412 Passes 405
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 3-1 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
30.03.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
17.12.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-1 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
06.08.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
29.01.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
06.11.2022 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
1-2
AWAY Anderlecht
2.63 xG 0.76
42% Ball Possession 58%
29 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
278 Passes 424
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht squeezed past Royal Antwerp 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Royal Antwerp at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 42% of the ball to Anderlecht's 58%, shots finished 29-10, expected goals 2.63 to 0.76 — on chances, Royal Antwerp could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Royal Antwerp and 0.67 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Anderlecht?

Royal Antwerp 1-2 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 49%, draw 25%, Anderlecht 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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