Cercle Brugge 1-2 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.41 — our 26% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.85
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.55
X/1
10%
3.78
X/2
8%
12.0
X/X
12%
6.34
2/1
8%
21.0
2/2
12%
8.92
2/X
7%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.5pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 21%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
2.04/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.68
+11% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.0 Crosses 16.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kortrijk
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.80 xG 0.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
219 Passes 216
60% Pass Accuracy 60%
38 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
29.09.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-1 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
01.04.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
29.10.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-1 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
12.03.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
04.12.2021 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-2 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
1-2
AWAY Kortrijk
2.49 xG 1.71
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 7
368 Passes 119
76% Pass Accuracy 49%
55 Box Touches 21
49 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk edged past Cercle Brugge 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cercle Brugge at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 68% of the ball to Kortrijk's 32%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 2.49 to 1.71 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cercle Brugge.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cercle Brugge and 0.50 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Kortrijk?

Cercle Brugge 1-2 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 47%, draw 27%, Kortrijk 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✗ Under 2.5
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