Gent 1-2 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.5
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
8.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.89
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.1
X/1
18%
3.84
X/2
10%
11.6
X/X
9%
6.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.8
2/2
11%
8.49
2/X
7%
16.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
2.13/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.64
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
389 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.1 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Dender EH
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
04.04.2009 Dender EH Dender EH 1-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
08.11.2008 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
10.05.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 0-3 HT 0-2 Gent Gent BEL
22.12.2007 Gent Gent 2-4 HT 1-2 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
1-2
AWAY Dender EH
1.14 xG 1.14
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
565 Passes 273
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gent vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH edged past Gent 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gent at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gent had 65% of the ball to Dender EH's 35%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.14 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Gent and 1.50 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Gent vs Dender EH?

Gent 1-2 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gent 52%, draw 21%, Dender EH 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gent) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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