Kortrijk 1-1 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 23 Feb 2025

Kortrijk
1-1 HT 1-0
Cercle Brugge
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
46%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.91
6+ Goals
7%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 34% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.63
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
4%
13.45
X/1
8%
6.31
X/2
19%
5.08
X/X
10%
4.22
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.32
2/X
10%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+6.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kortrijk v Cercle Brugge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.41/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.47
-9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
17.4 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 2.58
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
196 Passes 250
58% Pass Accuracy 64%
14 Box Touches 43
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.08.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-2 HT 1-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
20.12.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
29.09.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-1 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
01.04.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
29.10.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-1 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
12.03.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL

Kortrijk 1-1 Cercle Brugge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
1-1
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.33 xG 0.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
145 Passes 191
53% Pass Accuracy 60%
30 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk and Cercle Brugge couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cercle Brugge at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Kortrijk had 47% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 53%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.33 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kortrijk and 1.67 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge?

Kortrijk 1-1 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 30%, draw 24%, Cercle Brugge 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cercle Brugge), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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