Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.29
6+ Goals
11%
11.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.29 — our 26% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.11
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
14%
4.21
X/2
7%
10.25
X/X
14%
5.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
22.9
2/2
10%
8.25
2/X
6%
16.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 13% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +5%
1.92/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.80
-22% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.3 Crosses 15.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Anderlecht
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.74 xG 0.96
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 Passes 340
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
01.09.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
05.05.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
14.04.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
28.01.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
25.01.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
AWAY Anderlecht
0.86 xG 0.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
282 Passes 392
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise got the better of Anderlecht 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 43% of the ball to Anderlecht's 57%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.86 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.83 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 51%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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