St. Truidense 3-1 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.28
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.1
X/1
18%
5.46
X/2
12%
6.74
X/X
11%
4.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
26.5
2/2
16%
4.59
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 6% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.3pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.9pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +8%
1.84/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.38
+5% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
19.3 Crosses 16.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.45 xG 2.03
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
417 Passes 194
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
25 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
04.12.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEK
29.09.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
04.02.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 4-1 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
27.08.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-2 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
15.04.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-1 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense saw off Cercle Brugge 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Truidense as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Truidense and 1.83 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Cercle Brugge?

St. Truidense 3-1 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 45%, draw 22%, Cercle Brugge 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Truidense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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