Kortrijk 3-2 Beerschot VA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 12 Apr 2025

Kortrijk
3-2 HT 2-2
Beerschot VA
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Kortrijk vs Beerschot VA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.68
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 28% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.07
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
16%
4.29
X/2
11%
10.5
X/X
9%
5.76
2/1
6%
21.7
2/2
11%
8.12
2/X
7%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kortrijk v Beerschot VA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -21%
1.76/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.83
-17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.6 Crosses 16.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Kortrijk vs Beerschot VA Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Beerschot VA
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.82 xG 1.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
330 Passes 288
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.12.2024 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-2 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
25.10.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-0 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
13.02.2022 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-1 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
06.11.2021 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-1 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
27.01.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-0 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
07.11.2020 Kortrijk Kortrijk 5-5 HT 2-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Beerschot VA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk nicked a narrow win over Beerschot VA 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kortrijk as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kortrijk and 1.67 for Beerschot VA.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Beerschot VA?

Kortrijk 3-2 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - Pro League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Beerschot VA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kortrijk win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 48%, draw 24%, Beerschot VA 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kortrijk), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kortrijk) ✓ Over 2.5
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