FC Minsk 2-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.44
2-3 Goals
34%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
4.47
6+ Goals
8%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.42/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.40
+22% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Minsk
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
22.06.2024 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-2 HT 0-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
14.10.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
26.05.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Minsk
2-2
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Minsk and Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Minsk had 47% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 53%, shots finished 19-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for FC Minsk and 0.50 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.

What was the final score of FC Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

FC Minsk 2-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FC Minsk 36%, draw 28%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Minsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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