FC Minsk 1-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.52
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.69
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 38% vs market 33.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.6pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
207 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Minsk
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.10.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
26.05.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Minsk
1-2
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk squeezed past FC Minsk 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Minsk had 58% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 42%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Minsk had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Minsk and 0.00 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.

What was the final score of FC Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

FC Minsk 1-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Minsk 35%, draw 28%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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