BATE Borisov 3-1 Dinamo Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.79
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
14%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -17%
1.21/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.29
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BATE Borisov
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Brest
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 4-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
23.04.2023 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 1-2 HT 1-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
15.10.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 4-1 HT 3-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
28.05.2022 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 0-3 HT 0-2 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
25.07.2021 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
20.03.2021 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 0-0 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BATE Borisov
3-1
AWAY Dinamo Brest
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BATE Borisov vs Dinamo Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE Borisov beat Dinamo Brest 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; BATE Borisov found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, BATE Borisov had 45% of the ball to Dinamo Brest's 55%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for BATE Borisov and 0.67 for Dinamo Brest.

What was the final score of BATE Borisov vs Dinamo Brest?

BATE Borisov 3-1 Dinamo Brest in the Belarus - Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE Borisov vs Dinamo Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated a BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split BATE Borisov 37%, draw 27%, Dinamo Brest 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BATE Borisov), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR More Belarus - Premier League
22 Jun 2024
16:00 Naftan Novopolotsk vs Slavia Mozyr Analysis →
18:00 FC Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Analysis →