Naftan Novopolotsk 0-1 Slavia Mozyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.13
6+ Goals
8%
19.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.48/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.57
+28% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 2-2 HT 1-2 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
02.06.2023 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-0 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
19.09.2015 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-3 HT 0-1 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
23.05.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 1-1 HT 1-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
0-1
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naftan Novopolotsk vs Slavia Mozyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Mozyr edged past Naftan Novopolotsk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Slavia Mozyr made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Naftan Novopolotsk had 38% of the ball to Slavia Mozyr's 62%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Naftan Novopolotsk and 1.00 for Slavia Mozyr.

What was the final score of Naftan Novopolotsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Naftan Novopolotsk 0-1 Slavia Mozyr in the Belarus - Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naftan Novopolotsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Naftan Novopolotsk 32%, draw 29%, Slavia Mozyr 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Mozyr), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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