FC Molodechno 0-1 Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 25.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.2pp
31%
Draw
22%
+9.1pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-13.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Molodechno EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel EU Bookmakers 69%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.00/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/0.48
-100% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +63%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
226 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Molodechno
0-1
AWAY Gomel
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Molodechno vs Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gomel squeezed past FC Molodechno 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gomel as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Molodechno had 42% of the ball to Gomel's 58%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of FC Molodechno vs Gomel?

FC Molodechno 0-1 Gomel in the Belarus - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Molodechno vs Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Molodechno 18%, draw 31%, Gomel 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gomel), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gomel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR More Belarus - Premier League
10 May 2025
15:00 FC Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Analysis →
19:00 BATE Borisov vs Dinamo Brest Analysis →