USM Oujda 2-1 Racing De Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.63
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.03
No
67%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
35%
-8.3pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.1pp
33%
BTTS Yes
45%
-12.6pp
67%
BTTS No
55%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing De Casablanca EU Bookmakers 31%
+23% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -18%
1.34/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.29
+35% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
239 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Oujda
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Racing De Casablanca
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Oujda FAS2
17.02.2024 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca 0-1 HT 0-1 USM Oujda FAS2
17.09.2023 USM Oujda 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca FAS2
30.09.2022 USM Oujda 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca FAS2
POST-MATCH USM Oujda vs Racing De Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Oujda squeezed past Racing De Casablanca 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day USM Oujda made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, USM Oujda had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for USM Oujda and 0.25 for Racing De Casablanca.

What was the final score of USM Oujda vs Racing De Casablanca?

USM Oujda 2-1 Racing De Casablanca in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Oujda vs Racing De Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Oujda win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split USM Oujda 40%, draw 26%, Racing De Casablanca 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Oujda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Oujda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAS2 More Morocco - Botola 2
10 May 2025
18:00 Rapide Oued Zem vs Wydad Fes Analysis →
18:00 Stade Marocain vs Chabab Ben Guerir Analysis →
18:00 KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour Analysis →
18:00 Olympique Dcheira vs Olympique Khouribga Analysis →
18:00 Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs Mouloudia Oujda Analysis →