Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.22
2-3 Goals
46%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.05
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -85%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.54 xG 1.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 291
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2025 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
01.02.2025 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
09.03.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-2 HT 1-2 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
11.11.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
06.05.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAF8K
25.02.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
2-1
AWAY Orlando Pirates
1.15 xG 0.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
240 Passes 296
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kaizer Chiefs vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaizer Chiefs nicked a narrow win over Orlando Pirates 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Orlando Pirates at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kaizer Chiefs had 46% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 54%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 1.15 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kaizer Chiefs and 1.50 for Orlando Pirates.

What was the final score of Kaizer Chiefs vs Orlando Pirates?

Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Cup on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaizer Chiefs vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kaizer Chiefs 32%, draw 26%, Orlando Pirates 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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