SV Spakenburg 2-1 Noordwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+0.4pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.4pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -20%
2.22/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.86
+12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
380 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Spakenburg
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Noordwijk
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Noordwijk Noordwijk 2-2 HT 1-1 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
06.04.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 8-0 HT 3-0 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs Noordwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg squeezed past Noordwijk 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, SV Spakenburg had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for SV Spakenburg and 1.00 for Noordwijk.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs Noordwijk?

SV Spakenburg 2-1 Noordwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs Noordwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 51%, draw 21%, Noordwijk 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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