Katwijk 0-1 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-7.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.9pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 28%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.76/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.49
-10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katwijk
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
30.11.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 HT 0-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
11.05.2024 Katwijk Katwijk 2-1 HT 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
02.12.2023 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-2 HT 0-2 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
0-1
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis edged past Katwijk 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Katwijk at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Katwijk had 60% of the ball to Excelsior Maassluis's 40%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Katwijk had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Katwijk and 1.00 for Excelsior Maassluis.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Katwijk 0-1 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 48%, draw 21%, Excelsior Maassluis 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Katwijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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