Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.22
Draw
19%
4.09
Away Pick
67%
1.5
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.05
Over
57%
1.7
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.8
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
45%
4-5
26%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
1%
2/2
42%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Excelsior Maassluis The Market 19%
Signal
AWAY Katwijk The Market 66%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
0.82 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.41
1.53 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.88
Bad Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Strong
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Katwijk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
11.05.2024 Katwijk Katwijk 2-1 HT 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
02.12.2023 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-2 HT 0-2 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1 - 1
AWAY Katwijk
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Excelsior Maassluis vs Katwijk
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Excelsior Maassluis and Katwijk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Katwijk at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (57%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 36% of the ball to Katwijk's 64%, shots finished 7-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Katwijk led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 2.00 for Katwijk.

Excelsior Maassluis vs Katwijk Result & Final Score

Excelsior Maassluis 1 - 1 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Excelsior Maassluis vs Katwijk Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 14%, draw 19%, Katwijk 67%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Katwijk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katwijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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