Katwijk 2-1 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.98
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.4pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.3pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 24%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.78/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.98
-6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katwijk
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
02.12.2023 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-2 HT 0-2 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
2-1
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk edged past Excelsior Maassluis 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Katwijk as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Katwijk had 53% of the ball to Excelsior Maassluis's 47%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Katwijk 2-1 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 48%, draw 20%, Excelsior Maassluis 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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