GVVV 2-3 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.41
No
55%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.9pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.0pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
67%
-21.5pp
55%
BTTS No
33%
+21.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GVVV EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 54%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.04/2.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/2.05
-12% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GVVV
0W-1D-1L
AWAY SV Spakenburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
413 Passes 191
79% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 10
02.12.2023 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 4-1 HT 1-1 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
01.04.2017 GVVV GVVV 2-2 HT 0-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GVVV
2-3
AWAY SV Spakenburg
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GVVV vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg nicked a narrow win over GVVV 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, GVVV had 51% of the ball to SV Spakenburg's 49%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, SV Spakenburg led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for GVVV and 3.00 for SV Spakenburg.

What was the final score of GVVV vs SV Spakenburg?

GVVV 2-3 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GVVV vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split GVVV 33%, draw 18%, SV Spakenburg 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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