Rijnsburgse Boys 1-1 Lisse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
16%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+1.7pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.6pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lisse EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/3.68
-43% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / -56%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lisse
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
284 Passes 204
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Lisse Lisse 1-2 HT 1-0 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
09.12.2017 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 2-1 HT 1-1 Lisse Lisse HOLTW
POST-MATCH Rijnsburgse Boys vs Lisse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijnsburgse Boys and Lisse couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rijnsburgse Boys at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rijnsburgse Boys had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rijnsburgse Boys and 1.00 for Lisse.

What was the final score of Rijnsburgse Boys vs Lisse?

Rijnsburgse Boys 1-1 Lisse in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijnsburgse Boys vs Lisse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijnsburgse Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rijnsburgse Boys 54%, draw 18%, Lisse 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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