AFC Amsterdamsche 3-0 ACV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
25%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY ACV EU Bookmakers 24%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/2.01
+7% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
1W-0D-0L
AWAY ACV
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 12
02.12.2023 ACV 0-2 HT 0-2 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
3-0
AWAY ACV
42% Ball Possession 58%
20 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs ACV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche swept aside ACV 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Amsterdamsche as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, AFC Amsterdamsche had 42% of the ball to ACV's 58%, shots finished 20-12.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs ACV?

AFC Amsterdamsche 3-0 ACV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs ACV?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 50%, draw 19%, ACV 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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