Koninklijke HFC 1-1 HHC Hardenberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.6pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 34%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.47/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.20
-13% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koninklijke HFC
0W-1D-1L
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
225 Passes 171
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
02.12.2023 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 3-2 HT 1-2 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
22.04.2017 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 1-1 HT 0-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
POST-MATCH Koninklijke HFC vs HHC Hardenberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koninklijke HFC and HHC Hardenberg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Koninklijke HFC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, HHC Hardenberg led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Koninklijke HFC and 2.00 for HHC Hardenberg.

What was the final score of Koninklijke HFC vs HHC Hardenberg?

Koninklijke HFC 1-1 HHC Hardenberg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koninklijke HFC vs HHC Hardenberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koninklijke HFC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Koninklijke HFC 43%, draw 24%, HHC Hardenberg 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Koninklijke HFC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Koninklijke HFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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