Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.85
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.03
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
8%
4.67
X/2
13%
7.25
X/X
17%
3.8
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
10%
5.98
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.23/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.90
-21% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.1 Crosses 22.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
2-0
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
2.09 xG 0.47
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
490 Passes 218
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
35 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol beat Fagiano Okayama 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Kashiwa Reysol made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 65% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 35%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.09 to 0.47.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama?

Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J1 League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 37%, draw 32%, Fagiano Okayama 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
10 May 2025
08:00 Yokohama FC vs Avispa Fukuoka Analysis →
09:00 FC Tokyo vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →