FC Tokyo 1-0 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.27
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
9%
15.3
X/1
12%
7.66
X/2
13%
4.44
X/X
9%
4.36
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.73
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +20%
1.25/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.06
+18% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
16.5 Crosses 22.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.35 xG 1.54
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
333 Passes 287
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.10.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
09.03.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
26.08.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-2 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
27.05.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-2 HT 3-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
14.09.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
06.04.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 3-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
1-0
AWAY Vissel Kobe
2.41 xG 1.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 11
213 Passes 246
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo squeezed past Vissel Kobe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 46% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 54%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 2.41 to 1.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Tokyo's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.67 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Vissel Kobe?

FC Tokyo 1-0 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 32%, draw 26%, Vissel Kobe 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
10 May 2025
08:00 Yokohama FC vs Avispa Fukuoka Analysis →
10:00 Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama Analysis →