Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 10 May 2025

Parceiro Nagano (K)
2-1 HT 1-1
Cerezo Osaka (K)
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2024/2025

Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
42%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.71
Over 2.5
56%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
42%
Away Win
30%
+11.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
55%
-10.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
45%
+10.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.5pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parceiro Nagano (K) v Cerezo Osaka (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.41/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.42
+14% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 0.0

Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
16.11.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
12.05.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL

Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
2-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano (K) nicked a narrow win over Cerezo Osaka (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cerezo Osaka (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano (K) had 46% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 54%, shots finished 19-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Parceiro Nagano (K) and 1.50 for Cerezo Osaka (K).

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 35%, draw 24%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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