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Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Parceiro Nagano (K) v Cerezo Osaka (K) — Team-Based Signals
Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-2 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Cerezo Osaka (K) edged past Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cerezo Osaka (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Parceiro Nagano (K) had 50% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 50%, shots finished 15-9.
What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?
Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-2 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 31%, draw 28%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.