JEF United (K) 2-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
57%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.96
No
43%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+6.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
56%
Away Win
64%
-7.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.8pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
16.03.2024 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United (K)
2-1
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JEF United (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United (K) nicked a narrow win over INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, JEF United (K) had 41% of the ball to INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)'s 59%, shots finished 6-18.

What was the final score of JEF United (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

JEF United (K) 2-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split JEF United (K) 21%, draw 22%, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 56%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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