Sofapaka 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
26%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
36%
Draw
31%
+4.8pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.3pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.32/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.25
+32% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sofapaka
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
22 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 1-2 HT 0-2 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN
23.01.2022 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 3-0 HT 1-0 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN2
19.01.2022 Sofapaka Sofapaka 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN2
POST-MATCH Sofapaka vs Kariobangi Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sofapaka and Kariobangi Sharks played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 36% / 26%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sofapaka and 1.33 for Kariobangi Sharks.

What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Sofapaka 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks in the Kenya - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sofapaka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 38%, draw 36%, Kariobangi Sharks 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sofapaka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sofapaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KEN More Kenya - Premier League
10 May 2025
00:00 Posta Rangers vs Bidco United Analysis →
16:00 Tusker vs Muranga All Stars Analysis →