Kariobangi Sharks 1-2 Sofapaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.48
Over 2.5
29%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.1pp
37%
Draw
30%
+6.8pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.6pp
71%
Under 2.5
64%
+6.9pp
29%
Over 2.5
36%
-6.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.0pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.59/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sofapaka
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
23.01.2022 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 3-0 HT 1-0 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN2
19.01.2022 Sofapaka Sofapaka 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
1-2
AWAY Sofapaka
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kariobangi Sharks vs Sofapaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sofapaka nicked a narrow win over Kariobangi Sharks 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 37% / 31% — and on the day Sofapaka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kariobangi Sharks had 56% of the ball to Sofapaka's 44%, shots finished 8-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kariobangi Sharks had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kariobangi Sharks and 0.00 for Sofapaka.

What was the final score of Kariobangi Sharks vs Sofapaka?

Kariobangi Sharks 1-2 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kariobangi Sharks vs Sofapaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 31%, draw 37%, Sofapaka 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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