Leopards SC 1-0 Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
1.45
Over 2.5
24%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
27%
2.19
No
73%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.3pp
76%
Under 2.5
65%
+10.6pp
24%
Over 2.5
35%
-10.6pp
27%
BTTS Yes
42%
-14.2pp
73%
BTTS No
58%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Police EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.87/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+29% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leopards SC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Police
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2022 Police Police 0-3 HT 0-2 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN2
20.03.2022 Leopards SC Leopards SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Police Police KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leopards SC
1-0
AWAY Police
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leopards SC vs Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leopards SC edged past Police 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Leopards SC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (76%), no to both teams scoring (73%) came in.

On the day, Leopards SC had 51% of the ball to Police's 49%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Leopards SC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leopards SC and 0.50 for Police.

What was the final score of Leopards SC vs Police?

Leopards SC 1-0 Police in the Kenya - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leopards SC vs Police?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leopards SC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leopards SC 39%, draw 31%, Police 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leopards SC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leopards SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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