Muranga All Stars 1-3 Tusker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

Muranga All Stars
1-3 HT 0-2
Tusker
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Muranga All Stars vs Tusker Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.1pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Muranga All Stars v Tusker — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muranga All Stars EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tusker EU Bookmakers 45%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
0.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.73
-38% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Muranga All Stars vs Tusker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tusker got the better of Muranga All Stars 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; Tusker found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Muranga All Stars vs Tusker?

Muranga All Stars 1-3 Tusker in the Kenya - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muranga All Stars vs Tusker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Muranga All Stars 29%, draw 32%, Tusker 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tusker) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tusker) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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