Ayacucho FC 1-4 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-10.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 30%
-16% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.29/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.45
-24% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
24.6 Crosses 16.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayacucho FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.20 xG 1.69
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
238 Passes 375
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2022 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
13.05.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-2 HT 3-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
17.10.2021 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-0 HT 0-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
25.06.2021 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PERKB
12.12.2020 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-4 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
09.12.2020 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-1 HT 2-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayacucho FC
1-4
AWAY Sporting Cristal
0.93 xG 1.78
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
172 Passes 424
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ayacucho FC vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal cruised past Ayacucho FC 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sporting Cristal found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ayacucho FC had 33% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 67%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.93 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ayacucho FC and 2.17 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Ayacucho FC vs Sporting Cristal?

Ayacucho FC 1-4 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayacucho FC vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayacucho FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ayacucho FC 37%, draw 28%, Sporting Cristal 35%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ayacucho FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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