Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Grau v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Atletico Grau
PER
1-2
HT 1-1
Alianza Lima
PER
1-2
HT 1-2
Alianza Lima
PER
1-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Grau
PER
Atletico Grau 1-1 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Grau and Alianza Lima shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Alianza Lima at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Grau had 41% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 59%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.34 to 1.75.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.50 for Alianza Lima.
What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima?
Atletico Grau 1-1 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 25%, draw 28%, Alianza Lima 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza Lima), BTTS No went the other way.