Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Grau v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Atletico Grau
PER
1-2
HT 1-1
Alianza Lima
PER
1-2
HT 1-2
Alianza Lima
PER
1-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Grau
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Grau
PER
Atletico Grau 1-0 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Grau edged past Alianza Lima 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%) came in.
On the day, Atletico Grau had 47% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 53%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 1.11 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.67 for Alianza Lima.
What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima?
Atletico Grau 1-0 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 28%, draw 41%, Alianza Lima 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.