Comerciantes Unidos 2-0 Cesar Vallejo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
0.80/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.94
+32% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.7 Crosses 17.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.08 xG 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 10
267 Passes 250
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.04.2024 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 3-1 HT 2-1 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
2-0
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
1.25 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
291 Passes 310
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Comerciantes Unidos vs Cesar Vallejo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Comerciantes Unidos beat Cesar Vallejo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Comerciantes Unidos made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 48% of the ball to Cesar Vallejo's 52%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.25 to 0.87.

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Cesar Vallejo?

Comerciantes Unidos 2-0 Cesar Vallejo in the Peru - Premier League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Cesar Vallejo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cesar Vallejo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 35%, draw 28%, Cesar Vallejo 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cesar Vallejo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cesar Vallejo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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