Cesar Vallejo 3-1 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.9pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.61/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.40
+0% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +66%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
20.4 Crosses 13.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesar Vallejo
3-1
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.67 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
250 Passes 267
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cesar Vallejo vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesar Vallejo beat Comerciantes Unidos 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cesar Vallejo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cesar Vallejo had 49% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 51%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.67 to 1.08.

What was the final score of Cesar Vallejo vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Cesar Vallejo 3-1 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesar Vallejo vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesar Vallejo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cesar Vallejo 50%, draw 27%, Comerciantes Unidos 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesar Vallejo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cesar Vallejo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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