Sport Boys 1-2 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.68
Over 2.5
35%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+5.6pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.7pp
46%
Away Win
59%
-13.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.87/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.57
+26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +9%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
208 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 82%
13.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
18.1 Crosses 20.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Boys
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Universitario
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.76 xG 1.35
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
216 Passes 314
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2023 Universitario Universitario 3-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
29.04.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-3 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
11.09.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
24.04.2022 Universitario Universitario 1-1 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
22.08.2021 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
01.03.2020 Sport Boys Sport Boys 3-3 HT 2-2 Universitario Universitario PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Boys
1-2
AWAY Universitario
1.08 xG 1.16
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
182 Passes 251
63% Pass Accuracy 73%
9 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sport Boys vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario nicked a narrow win over Sport Boys 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sport Boys had 46% of the ball to Universitario's 54%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.08 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sport Boys and 1.83 for Universitario.

What was the final score of Sport Boys vs Universitario?

Sport Boys 1-2 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Boys vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sport Boys 22%, draw 32%, Universitario 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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