Melgar 2-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-12.3pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.6pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melgar EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 12%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
2.07/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.57
+0% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -7%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
22.4 Crosses 13.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melgar
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.35 xG 0.70
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
348 Passes 191
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2023 Melgar Melgar 2-1 HT 1-1 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
29.05.2023 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-2 HT 0-0 Melgar Melgar PER
10.07.2022 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-1 HT 0-0 Melgar Melgar PER
06.02.2022 Melgar Melgar 1-0 HT 0-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
21.08.2021 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-2 HT 1-1 Melgar Melgar PER
13.06.2021 Melgar Melgar 1-2 HT 0-1 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PERKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melgar
2-0
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1.98 xG 0.11
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
446 Passes 213
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Melgar vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melgar saw off Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Melgar had 65% of the ball to Carlos Manucci Trujillo's 35%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.98 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Melgar and 0.83 for Carlos Manucci Trujillo.

What was the final score of Melgar vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

Melgar 2-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo in the Peru - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melgar vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Melgar 62%, draw 21%, Carlos Manucci Trujillo 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melgar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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