Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Atletico Grau — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Atletico Grau
PER
1-2
HT 1-1
Alianza Lima
PER
1-2
HT 1-2
Alianza Lima
PER
1-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Grau
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Grau
PER
Alianza Lima 2-0 Atletico Grau — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima got the better of Atletico Grau 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 44% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 56%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.84 to 0.87.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.60 for Atletico Grau.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?
Alianza Lima 2-0 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 55%, draw 25%, Atletico Grau 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.