Cusco FC 3-2 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 15 Apr 2024

Cusco FC
3-2 HT 2-2
ADT
📅15/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.8pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.35/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/4.86
-11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -70%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.7 Crosses 12.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
2W-0D-0L
AWAY ADT
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.89 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
244 Passes 267
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.09.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-0 HT 1-0 ADT ADT PER
16.04.2023 ADT ADT 0-2 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
3-2
AWAY ADT
1.77 xG 0.54
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
391 Passes 177
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC squeezed past ADT 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Cusco FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cusco FC had 65% of the ball to ADT's 35%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.77 to 0.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cusco FC's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cusco FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cusco FC and 0.00 for ADT.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs ADT?

Cusco FC 3-2 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 36%, draw 31%, ADT 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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