UTC Cajamarca 2-0 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
24%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.48/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.78
+20% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / -55%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
24.1 Crosses 24.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2-0
AWAY Cultural San
1.10 xG 0.88
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
288 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTC Cajamarca beat Cultural San 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UTC Cajamarca as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 46% of the ball to Cultural San's 54%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.10 to 0.88.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Cultural San?

UTC Cajamarca 2-0 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 51%, draw 27%, Cultural San 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTC Cajamarca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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