Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
7.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.1pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.3pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
2.10/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.03
+8% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 0-2 HT 0-0 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-0
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
47% Ball Possession 53%
26 Total Shots 13
13 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Zaglebie Lubin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki got the better of Zaglebie Lubin II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had 47% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin II's 53%, shots finished 26-13.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 55%, draw 21%, Zaglebie Lubin II 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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