Neftekhimik 1-1 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 10 May 2025

Neftekhimik
1-1 HT 1-1
FC Sochi
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

Neftekhimik vs FC Sochi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No Pick
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
21%
Home Win
21%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
54%
Away Win
53%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.3pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Neftekhimik v FC Sochi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi The Market 57%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.06/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.30
+17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Neftekhimik vs FC Sochi Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Sochi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.11.2024 FC Sochi FC Sochi 3-2 HT 1-2 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1

Neftekhimik 1-1 FC Sochi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
1-1
AWAY FC Sochi
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftekhimik and FC Sochi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Sochi at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 37% of the ball to FC Sochi's 63%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs FC Sochi?

Neftekhimik 1-1 FC Sochi in the Russia - FNL on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 21%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Sochi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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