FC Sochi 3-2 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.5pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
2.02/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.16
+22% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
3-2
AWAY Neftekhimik
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi nicked a narrow win over Neftekhimik 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Sochi as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Sochi had 69% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 31%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Neftekhimik?

FC Sochi 3-2 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 57%, draw 24%, Neftekhimik 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sochi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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